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Brian Besieged

Posted by Mike Farrell on January 18, 2008

You wanna know how tough it’s gotten out there for cable stocks?

So bad that one institutional investor, one that doesn’t normally do things like this, is calling for the ouster of Comcast CEO Brian Roberts.

Brian Roberts. The guy who a couple of years ago was being hailed as the smartest guy in cable. The guy who grew his father’s company from a 3-million subscriber regional cable company to the 24-million subscriber powerhouse it is today. The guy who convinced Bill Gates to invest in cable. The guy who is definitely not Jim Dolan, the Cablevision CEO who in one day in 2002 saw his company’s stock to fall 26% after a presentation he made to Wall Street.

According to a report this morning in Barron's,
Ch...Read More

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What If They Held A Price War And Nobody Came?

Posted by Mike Farrell on November 30, 2007

It seems that ever since Verizon and AT&T seriously began entering the video market, Wall Street and investors have been bracing for what they thought would be the inevitable price war between cable companies and telcos.

But according to a report by Sanford Bernstein cable and satellite analyst Craig Moffett, cable operators aren’t lowering prices to compete with telcos, they’re raising them. And the telcos are the ones that started it all.

Verizon set the standard earlier in November when they announced that prices for its FiOS voice, video and data service would rise 11.6% in 2008. That comes off a 7.6% increase in 2007.

That would have seemed to be the perfect opportunity for cable operators to either keep prices stable or lower them sligh...Read More

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Jimmy Was Sending Signals

Posted by Mike Farrell on October 24, 2007

BETHPAGE, N.Y.  – Jimmy Dolan looked a little uncomfortable standing at the podium Wednesday at the much anticipated special shareholders meeting to vote on the Dolan family’s $10.6 billion offer to take the cable company private. That, and the gloomy skies hovering over Cablevision’s headquarters here should have been the first tip on how that vote would eventually come out.

About 15 minutes later, senior vice president and corporate secretary Victoria Salhus let the cat out of the bag: the Dolans had not secured the necessary “majority of the minority” shareholder vote to approve the deal.

But prior to the announcement of the tally – the actual vote won’t be released for at least a couple of weeks, according to Cablevision – there were a few signs that all was not well in...Read More

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The Pellet with the Poison

Posted by Mike Farrell on September 13, 2007

One of the things that have been kind of glossed over amid reports last month that Charter Communications chairman, Microsoft co-founder and really big yacht owner Paul Allen was considering, among other things, taking the cable company private, was the fact that Charter deemed it necessary to create a “poison pill.”

Allen, who formed Charter in the 1990s through the strength of his considerable wallet, controls 91% of Charter’s vote and 52% of its equity. Translation: Nothing gets done, let alone a sale or hostile takeover, without Allen’s say so.

Whenever a company initiates such an action – they’re usually called shareholders rights plans – it’s usually because of a perceived threat. Remember a ...Read More

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Sometimes a Cigar is …

Posted by Mike Farrell on August 28, 2007

It was a pretty innocuous suggestion, a throw-away comment really, during a conversation with a stock picker a couple of weeks ago.

“Hey, did you see Time Warner’s announcement that they’ll release earnings on Nov. 7?”

“Sure,” I said. “So what?”

“But they usually release earnings on the first of the month,” the stock picker replied. “Maybe they’re waiting a week because they don’t want to take the big stock hit that normally follows earnings.”

That seemed pretty logical to me. The stock market has been relentlessly unforgiving lately when it comes to cable companies. Stock prices of the six publicly traded cable companies are down 4.2% overall so far this year – the decline grows to 10% if you back out Cablevision Systems, which is up mainly because of ...Read More

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